{"id":99303,"date":"2021-12-02T07:30:06","date_gmt":"2021-12-02T11:30:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/?p=99303"},"modified":"2021-12-02T07:30:06","modified_gmt":"2021-12-02T11:30:06","slug":"omicron-fearmongering-covid-fake-science","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/?p=99303","title":{"rendered":"Omicron Fearmongering & Covid Fake Science"},"content":{"rendered":"

French Research and Real-World Data Counter Omicron Hysteria<\/strong><\/h1>\n

Trust science and data, not government officials<\/h3>\n

Joel S Hirschhorn
\nSubstack<\/p>\n

So much talk about Omicron; so much fear mongering; so much talk about science.\u00a0 Most is nonsense.\u00a0 The best research has received little attention.\u00a0 It comes from esteemed, senior French scientist: Dr. Jacques Fantini, Professor of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology at the University of Aix-Marseille.<\/p>\n

You are about to learn what senior people in the public health establishment need to use, especially Fauci who claims he speaks for and represents \u201cscience.\u201d\u00a0 If he knows the French research, he is not sharing it with the public, nor is the mainstream media.<\/p>\n

The key scientific achievement by Fantini is the calculation of one key parameter he calls the index of transmissibility (T) of a COVID variant. \u00a0The key work was published<\/a> in June 2021 with the title \u201cStructural dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 variants: A health monitoring strategy for anticipating Covid-19 outbreaks.\u201d\u00a0 This research is very sophisticated, detailed and challenging.\u00a0 Genomic sequence data are used in the analyses of variants.<\/p>\n

The molecular details of variants are analyzed to calculate T values for COVID variants.\u00a0 Originally, T values for known variants or strains of the COVID virus were determined.\u00a0 The T value for the Delta variant done in early 2021 accurately predicted the surge of Delta throughout the world, making it the dominant variant in many countries, including the US.<\/p>\n

The T value accurately describes to what extent a variant is or is not very transmissible.\u00a0 The higher the value of T, the greater is the ease at which a variant is spread from one person to another.\u00a0 The higher the value, the more contagious is the variant.\u00a0 Fantini said how T values could serve a critical need: \u201cT-index can be used as a health monitoring strategy to anticipate future Covid-19 outbreaks.\u201d\u00a0 At this moment, the question is \u201cIs the T value for Omicron of concern?\u201d<\/p>\n

So, now look at the following table that gives T values for the original five variants published by Fantini, plus what he has just released<\/a> for the new Omicron variant.<\/p>\n

Variant T-index<\/h3>\n

Initial Wuhan 2.16<\/p>\n

UK \u2013 Alpha 3.59<\/p>\n

Brazil \u2013 Gamma 3.65<\/p>\n

South Africa – Beta 3.82<\/p>\n

Delta 10.67<\/strong><\/p>\n

Omicron 3.90<\/h4>\n

 <\/p>\n

Delta stands out for having an extremely high T value compared to previous variants.\u00a0 No surprise that it quickly became the dominant variant globally.<\/p>\n

And equally impressive is the relatively low T value for Omicron, just 37% of the Delta value.\u00a0 Omicron should not <\/em>be of high concern by people and nations.\u00a0 It is in line with most pre-Delta variants.\u00a0 It is not exceptional.\u00a0 There is no scientific basis for all the hysteria about Omicron<\/em>.\u00a0 As shown below, most people assessed with Omicron were vaccinated and got breakthrough infections showing vaccines offer little protection.<\/p>\n

Additional observations<\/strong><\/p>\n

Note that the higher the T value it is also likely the less effective are current vaccines for defending against the variant and protecting people from it (as real-world data given below show).\u00a0 However, the higher T value does not imply greater lethality.\u00a0 As is known by virologists, variants are smart enough to not kill their victims, which would also kill them and prevent them from spreading.\u00a0 Thus, high T value variants spread easily, can cause health impacts but do not necessarily kill people at a high rate.<\/p>\n

Fantini said this: \u201cFor Omicron, the mutations go in all directions, without any particular logic, some annihilating each other.\u00a0 The mutational profiles \u2026suggest that neutralizing antibodies [from vaccine immunity] will have very low activity on this variant.\u00a0 \u2026This analysis of the Omicron variant suggests that this variant will not supplant Delta.\u201d\u00a0 In other words, with far less spreading potential, Omicron is not likely to replace the much higher transmissible Delta prevalent globally.\u00a0 Even though reports keep coming in from different nations that Omicron has been found.<\/p>\n

More positive insights had to do with the more than 30 mutations and exactly where they were located in the molecule. \u00a0\u201cThe affinity of the Omicron \u2026 for ACE-2 [cellular material that causes infection] is decreased compared to all other variants analyzed to date, probably as a consequence of this accumulation of mutations.\u201d\u00a0 Fantini is saying that Omicron is not only not <\/em>as highly transmissible as Delta, it is also not<\/em> as infectious.<\/p>\n

Worth remembering is that all the current COVID vaccines were designed to address the earliest COVID virus molecule.\u00a0 Thus, they do not protect very well against later variants that have considerable mutations.\u00a0 Is protection zero?\u00a0 No.\u00a0 Current vaccines offer limited defense against variants because they only aim at a small fraction of the virus molecule components.<\/p>\n

Vaccine problems<\/strong><\/p>\n

In a more recent article<\/a>, Fantini and an associate said: there is a \u201cprogressive loss of immunity induced by the two doses of vaccines directed against the spike protein\u201d because current vaccines are not designed to defend against recent variants, including Delta and Omicron.\u00a0 Moreover, \u201cthe third vaccine [booster] dose can have serious long-term side effects due to the \u201cADE\u201d phenomenon (Antibody-dependent enhancement: facilitation of infection by antibodies). \u00a0The benefit\/risk ratio would be unfavorable.\u201d\u00a0 In other words, like other researchers, they see the negative impact of current COVID vaccines that reduce protection offered by a person\u2019s immune system.\u00a0 What is being said is that antibodies not only offer little protection but, instead, facilitate viral infection and promote release of new mutations or variants.\u00a0 This is consistent with considerable data showing correlations between higher vaccination rates and higher death rates at the nation level.<\/p>\n

This too was noted: \u201cThe immune response to SARS-CoV-2, whether natural or vaccine-induced, produces antibodies directed against the spike protein. \u00a0In the case of mRNA vaccines, the only molecular target is the spike protein. \u00a0In the case of natural infection with the virus, the immune response [natural immunity] is directed against several viral proteins, including the spike protein. \u00a0In all cases, the spike protein is therefore crucial. \u00a0However, SARS-CoV-2 is an RNA virus that mutates a lot, and many mutations affect the spike protein, which disturbs its recognition by antibodies.\u201d\u00a0 The bottom line is that vaccine immunity is inferior to natural immunity, because the former was designed for the earliest strain and only targets a small fraction of the complex COVID molecule.<\/em><\/p>\n

Real world data show no severe illness and no protection from vaccines<\/strong><\/p>\n

The forecast by Fantini about Omicron is consistent with information flowing in.\u00a0 Specifically, vaccines will have little impact on Omicron transmission or infectivity.\u00a0 For example, Reuters<\/a> reported: \u201cFour people in southern Germany have tested positive for the Omicron COVID-19 variant even though they were fully vaccinated against the coronavirus said officials.\u201d\u00a0 Moreover, \u201cAll four showed moderate symptoms.\u201d<\/p>\n

Previously it was highlighted<\/a>, according to the Botswana government, the Omicron variant was first detected in four people who were fully vaccinated.\u00a0 And information<\/a> from South Africa is that Omicron caused mild symptoms and no patients needed hospitalization, and that the European Union’s public health body said that they’ve found 44 cases containing the omicron variant in 10 of their member countries, all of which had mild or asymptomatic illness.\u201d<\/p>\n

Also reported<\/a> was that \u201cTwo quarantined travelers in Hong Kong who have tested positive for the variant were vaccinated with the Pfizer jab.\u00a0 All three initial confirmed and suspected cases reported<\/a> from Israel occurred among fully vaccinated individuals.\u00a0 And an Israeli doctor revealed that he had been infected with Omicron despite being triple vaccinated also wearing a mask.<\/p>\n

In Australia, \u201cNew South Wales state authorities reported<\/a> that two travelers from South Africa to Sydney had become Australia’s first omicron cases. \u00a0Both were fully vaccinated, showed no symptoms.\u201d\u00a0 A person in San Francisco was reported<\/a> to have traveled from South Africa, had mild symptoms and had been vaccinated.\u00a0 Interestingly, officials said they had contacted everyone who had close contact with the person and they had all tested negative.<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, everything that Fauci has said<\/a> is completely inconsistent with actual data as well as what Fantini has forecast.\u00a0 Everything he has said seems clearly aimed at instilling fear about Omicron so that invasive, authoritarian government actions and continued push for vaccines could be justified.<\/p>\n

Conclusions<\/strong><\/p>\n

A review<\/a> of studies found unequivocally that COVID vaccines do not stop viral transmission, with no difference between vaccinated and unvaccinated people.\u00a0 So, all real-world evidence is that Omicron cannot be effectively addressed by COVID vaccines. \u00a0Together with Fantini\u2019s work the proper conclusion it that Omicron will not be very transmissible nor be more infective than Delta.<\/em><\/p>\n

Because mutations will continue to produce variants, it is critically important to use the work of Fantini.\u00a0 To accurately assess whether or not a new variant should evoke the fears and government responses that have sprung up so quickly for Omicron.<\/p>\n

___
\nhttps:\/\/joelshirschhorn.substack.com\/p\/french-research-and-real-world-data?justPublished=true<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

French Research and Real-World Data Counter Omicron Hysteria Trust science and data, not government officials<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-99303","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/99303","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=99303"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/99303\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=99303"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=99303"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=99303"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}