{"id":112581,"date":"2022-04-14T09:38:53","date_gmt":"2022-04-14T13:38:53","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/?p=112581"},"modified":"2022-04-14T09:46:53","modified_gmt":"2022-04-14T13:46:53","slug":"ukraine-war-has-triggered-regime-changes-across-the-planet-based-on-loyalty-to-russia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/?p=112581","title":{"rendered":"Ukraine War has triggered regime changes across the planet based on loyalty to Russia."},"content":{"rendered":"<h1><strong>From Paris to Karachi \u2013 Regime Change is In the Air<\/strong><\/h1>\n<p><!--more-->Tom Luongo<br \/>\n<a title=\"Gold Goats 'n Guns \u2014 Speaking Truth, Destroying Narratives about Politics, Markets and Culture\" href=\"https:\/\/tomluongo.me\/\" rel=\"home\">Gold Goats &#8216;n Guns<\/a><\/p>\n<p>There is nothing good about war. On this point all civilized people can agree. So, those that support the \u2018current thing\u2019 can stop reading right about\u2026.<\/p>\n<p>Now.<\/p>\n<p>But one of the things war does is expose everyone\u2019s real intentions. Even though the first casualty of war is the truth, nothing clears the air more than than troops and tanks crossing political borders and forcing people to react to such a thing.<\/p>\n<p>Since the beginning of Russia\u2019s \u201cSpecial Military Operation\u201d in Ukraine,\u00a0<em>nee<\/em>\u00a0invasion, there\u2019s been an acceleration of every conflicting agenda on the world stage, with mixed results for all involved, including Russia.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"alignleft is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"jetpack-lazy-image jetpack-lazy-image--handled\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/i.imgur.com\/P0ygPqg.png?resize=415%2C311&amp;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"415\" height=\"311\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" data-lazy-loaded=\"1\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>As I\u2019ve talked about at length, this is a conflict of existential proportions for every major player. From the Neocons in the US\/UK foreign policy establishment to\u00a0<em>Davos\u00a0<\/em>and the EU, from the terminally corrupt grifters in Congress to Putin\u2019s inner circle in the Kremlin.<\/p>\n<p>Ukraine represents\u00a0<em>the battlefield<\/em>\u00a0which will determine the outcome of World War III.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s both the beginning and the end, Alpha and Omega.<\/p>\n<p>Because of this political leaders around the world are under the kind of pressure which will define them.<\/p>\n<p>Some will rise to the challenge, others wilt under the glare of the klieg lights .<\/p>\n<p>Regime change is in the air all around the world either from the ground up as populations express their frustration with leadership intent on not serving their needs or from the top down as political elites attempt to retain control or open up new fronts without openly declaring war.<\/p>\n<p>Like the Russian intervention into Syria in October 2015, this invasion of Ukraine also exposes a great deal of the lies and motivations behind those lies for the tensions leading up to it.<\/p>\n<p>Think back to 2015 for a minute. All year long we were told that ISIS was too strong for anyone to really contain. We held Senate hearings on this. A new caliphate was rising in the eastern part of the country. These radicals just sprang up seemingly out of holes in the ground to overrun the Syrian army and begin knocking on the door to Assad\u2019s presidential palace in Damascus.<\/p>\n<p>Russia chose to intervene in Syria after Vladimir Putin\u2019s speech at the UN General Assembly two days prior, where he asked the West, \u201cDo you realize what you have done?\u201d By bringing in air support and precision bombing Russia proved to all the world that ISIS wasn\u2019t unbeatable, it was the exact opposite, a paper tiger created by virtual newspapers.<\/p>\n<p>And that raised the simple question, if a few dozen Russian planes running sortie after sortie can turn the tide in this war in a matter of weeks why couldn\u2019t the US Air Force do the same thing? It\u2019s not like anyone at the time thought the Russian air force superior to that of the US, so what in the holy hell was going on?<\/p>\n<p>Clearly, at that point Occam\u2019s Razor applies and you have your answer, the US was turning a blind eye to ISIS\u2019s rampage and likely assisting it in operations against the Syrian Arab Army.<\/p>\n<p>After all President Obama in 2013 tried to form a new \u201ccoalition of the willing\u201d to oust Assad from power after a false flag chemical weapons attack which never formed when the British parliament defied Prime Minister David Cameron and refused to join Obama\u2019s invasion.<\/p>\n<p>Putin negotiated a a face-saving compromise which saw Assad give up his stockpile of chemical weapons and his reward was three months later a coup in Ukraine which brought down corrupt President Viktor Yanukovich. This led to the current state of affairs with the Donbass declaring independence sparking a civil war and the Russians allowing Crimea to join the Russian Federation of its (mostly) own free will.<\/p>\n<p>So, fast forward to today and shouldn\u2019t we be asking the same questions about the war in Ukraine itself?<\/p>\n<p>To even casual observers of this conflict, whether we agree or disagree with Russia\u2019s red lines over NATO\u2019s intentions or Ukraine\u2019s right to \u2018self-determination,\u2019 there was clearly a relatively peaceful outcome on the table should both sides have been willing to deal honestly about it.<\/p>\n<p>So why didn\u2019t it happen? Why are we here? Again I refer you to the existential threats to various people, groups and countries for whom Ukraine represents something bigger than just Ukraine itself.<\/p>\n<p>Moreover, today we are clearly not allowed to raise these questions. If you do then the Thought Police come in to take away your Twitter account or worse.<\/p>\n<p>We are seven years advanced from those halcyon days of being able to take in information and discuss it and draw our own conclusions.<\/p>\n<p>Because of this the fog of war has never been thicker in my lifetime. It begs another question as to why. Why should it be\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/tomluongo.me\/2022\/04\/05\/bucha-budapest-multiplying-problems-war-criminals\/\"><em>verboten<\/em>\u00a0to question what happened at Bucha<\/a>?<\/p>\n<p>Or why Russia invaded in the first place?<\/p>\n<p>Why we\u2019re even contemplating expanding the official presence of NATO in Ukraine as it resists foreign occupation?<\/p>\n<p>Again, it doesn\u2019t matter if conceding to Russia\u2019s demands on Ukraine violate some so-called Western principles of self-determination. When politicians are hiding behind principles you know there is a far different agenda lurking beneath the headlines.<\/p>\n<p>That said, to my mind it is very clear why. When all aspects of this conflict are balanced it is hard to ignore the conclusion that the foundation on which the entire Western neoliberal order rests is crumbling.<\/p>\n<p>It means there can be no quietly going our separate ways, West and East, without one side gaining and the other losing prestige and power.<\/p>\n<p>This is why \u201cregime change\u201d is now the catchphrase of the day. While everyone involved officially denies that\u2019s what\u2019s going on, the actions say otherwise.<\/p>\n<p>The West is openly lobbying for Russians to rise up and overthrow Vladimir Putin. Russians are ignoring them completely. We are mobilizing thousands of troops and tons of materiel into Poland.<\/p>\n<p>The EU\u2019s top diplomats is now saying only a military solution is possible in Ukraine as Russia prepares its next major assault on Ukraine\u2019s forces trapped in the eastern part of the country, incapable of coordinated strikes of militarily strategic significance.<\/p>\n<p>Russia smothered the pivotal city of Mariupol and has finally secured some of the last holdouts in the Azovstal Steel Complex where reportedly hundreds of NATO officers of French, British, Canadian and (yes) American allegiance were trapped when the Russians surrounded the city and were apparently held as hostages by the remaining Azov Battalion forces holed up there.<\/p>\n<p>That is the subtext of Emmanuel Macron\u2019s poor showing in last weekend\u2019s first round of the French Presidential elections. And it has him in the thinnest position an establishment French President has been in electorally in decades, having not gotten French military men out of harm\u2019s way before things got out of hand.<\/p>\n<p>When I say regime change is in the air, I don\u2019t just mean some nefarious intelligence agency operation.<\/p>\n<p>Viktor Orban\u2019s impressive showing in Hungary was also a black eye for\u00a0<em>Davos\u00a0<\/em>as this election campaign was widely reported as very close with polls showing him in danger of losing to a Not-Orban coalition. And then on the day see him win with stronger support than he had previously. This leaves the EU vulnerable to Hungary\u2019s clear unwillingness to get involved in a war on the European continent.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\">\n<figure class=\"alignright size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-14254 jetpack-lazy-image jetpack-lazy-image--handled\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/image-7.png?resize=352%2C484&amp;ssl=1\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 352px) 100vw, 352px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/image-7.png?w=680&amp;ssl=1 680w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/image-7.png?resize=218%2C300&amp;ssl=1 218w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/image-7.png?resize=109%2C150&amp;ssl=1 109w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/image-7.png?resize=58%2C80&amp;ssl=1 58w\" alt=\"\" width=\"352\" height=\"484\" data-attachment-id=\"14254\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/tomluongo.me\/2022\/04\/13\/paris-karachi-regime-change-in-the-air\/image-7-17\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/image-7.png?fit=680%2C935&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"680,935\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-7\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/image-7.png?fit=218%2C300&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/image-7.png?fit=616%2C847&amp;ssl=1\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" data-lazy-loaded=\"1\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>In the US, President Biden is in serious trouble as the issues surrounding his son, Hunter, and his involvement in shady dealings in Ukraine. If you needed a reason, other than Biden\u2019s obvious cognitive decline and inability to project US influence over countries necessary to isolate Putin and Russia, for the Democrats to come up with a reason to get rid of him before the mid-terms in November look no further.<\/p>\n<p>If you want you can add in rampant inflation and his administration\u2019s ridiculous claims about it being \u201cPutin\u2019s price hike.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>No wonder Jenn Psaki wants out of this clown show.<\/p>\n<p>But, Biden was put into power to be the fall guy for US incompetence in the hopes that they can scapegoat him for the administration\u2019s struggles.<\/p>\n<p>As if no one has a memory capable of going back farther than a month or so.<\/p>\n<p>With these troubles brewing in important countries in the West. The pressure on countries unwilling to agree with the West\u2019s characterization of this war as only Russia\u2019s fault has increased substantially.<\/p>\n<p>In Pakistan, Imran Khan is now the former Prime Minister, as a combination of his own failings as a leader mixed with intense external pressure led to him being ousted from power but also not leading to a new election, which was the path he tried to choose.<\/p>\n<p>Sound familiar? This is similar to what happened in Italy in 2019 when Italian political insiders closed ranks to oust Lega\u2019s Matteo Salvini from power and putting Italy on the path to a fully unelected government led by former ECB President Mario Draghi in charge of the country just in time to destroy it for\u00a0<em>Davos\u2019\u00a0<\/em>Great Reset and the COVID-19 great leap into tyranny.<\/p>\n<p>Pakistanis are coming out in huge numbers protesting the \u201cImported Government\u201d now forming up after Khan successfully made the pitch to the people that the situation there is a product of US intervention.<\/p>\n<p>I would keep a close eye on what\u2019s happening in Pakistan over the next few weeks. Biden was in India to meet with Prime Minister Narendra Modi to pressure him into giving up his support of Putin through bilateral trade.<\/p>\n<p>The goal is to get India to re-establish ties with the US and, more importantly, the US dollar.<\/p>\n<p>And that\u2019s the real crux of what is going on now. The dollar isn\u2019t in trouble today. A quick look at the US Dollar Index tells you that.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-style-default\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-14251 jetpack-lazy-image jetpack-lazy-image--handled\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/image-6.png?resize=616%2C406&amp;ssl=1\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 616px) 100vw, 616px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/image-6.png?w=793&amp;ssl=1 793w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/image-6.png?resize=300%2C198&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/image-6.png?resize=150%2C99&amp;ssl=1 150w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/image-6.png?resize=768%2C507&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/image-6.png?resize=121%2C80&amp;ssl=1 121w\" alt=\"\" width=\"616\" height=\"406\" data-attachment-id=\"14251\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/tomluongo.me\/2022\/04\/13\/paris-karachi-regime-change-in-the-air\/image-6-19\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/image-6.png?fit=793%2C523&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"793,523\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image-6\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/image-6.png?fit=300%2C198&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tomluongo.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/image-6.png?fit=616%2C406&amp;ssl=1\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" data-lazy-loaded=\"1\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>But it is in trouble in the long run, as I\u2019ve discussed in previous articles (<a href=\"https:\/\/tomluongo.me\/2022\/03\/28\/got-gold-rubles-russia-just-broke-the-back-of-the-west\/\">here<\/a>\u00a0and<a href=\"https:\/\/tomluongo.me\/2022\/03\/13\/ins-outs-whose-money-is-it-anyway\/\">\u00a0here<\/a>).<\/p>\n<p>It seems the only guy not in some kind of political trouble is the one person supposedly suffering the most, Vladimir Putin. A few weeks ago I asked the question whether Putin was\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/tomluongo.me\/2022\/03\/18\/putin-destined-to-hang-or-drown\/\">destined to drown or hang over his refusal to bow to the West.<\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\"><p>Putin knows he\u2019s been pushed into this by people who are powerful but psychologically small. And the Russian people have been deeply disrespected to the point of war. That\u2019s why his poll numbers rise while Bidens\u2019 barely budge.<\/p>\n<p>That all leads to regime change as the end-game because it may be the only option, which implies continued escalation to the point of something unthinkable.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>That something unthinkable is what Robert Kagan, husband to Victoria Nuland, thinks is worth getting rid of Putin over, nuclear conflict with Russia.<\/p>\n<p>Kagan knows that Putin, for all of the issues he\u2019s navigating now, is in no worse a position than he was six weeks ago. The Russian people are lining up to fight in Ukraine, his popularity hasn\u2019t been this high since reunification with Crimea and he\u2019s begun the process of reversing the nothing for something global monetary order having tied the ruble to gold and, by extension, all commodity trading worldwide.<\/p>\n<p>But it seems now, with the surrender of most of the Azov forces in Mariupol and the Russians massing a huge force to roll over the rest of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the next few weeks in the Donbass, a small dose of reality is beginning to filter into the minds of neocons and\u00a0<em>Davos.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>When they send out a CFR Senior Fellow to write a massive apologia for a return to\u00a0<em>realpolitik\u00a0<\/em>for the New York Times (<a href=\"https:\/\/afroworldnews.com\/putins-war-in-ukraine-is-a-watershed-time-for-america-to-get-real\/\">link to a non-paywalled version of the story here<\/a>) you know we are now beginning to look at the costs of escalating this conflict any further.<\/p>\n<p>The right move here for everyone is to get back to the bargaining table, accept the fact that the Great Reset has failed and live with the idea that to survive what damage has already been done to the global economy and humanity itself, post-COVID, is already an Herculean task which doesn\u2019t need regime change on a mass scale but the barest modicum of humility to let sane minds begin the rebuilding.<\/p>\n<p>Sadly, I don\u2019t think that is the most likely outcome.<\/p>\n<p>___<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/tomluongo.me\/2022\/04\/13\/paris-karachi-regime-change-in-the-air\/\">https:\/\/tomluongo.me\/2022\/04\/13\/paris-karachi-regime-change-in-the-air\/<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>From Paris to Karachi \u2013 Regime Change is In the Air<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-112581","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/112581","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=112581"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/112581\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=112581"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=112581"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=112581"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}