{"id":138349,"date":"2022-10-10T08:16:20","date_gmt":"2022-10-10T12:16:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/?p=138349"},"modified":"2022-10-10T08:16:20","modified_gmt":"2022-10-10T12:16:20","slug":"why-the-caucasus-region-has-developed-into-such-a-powder-keg","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/?p=138349","title":{"rendered":"Why the Caucasus Region has developed into such a powder keg."},"content":{"rendered":"<h1 style=\"text-align: center;\">Understanding The Caucasus Region<\/h1>\n<p><!--more-->ZeroHedge.com<\/p>\n<p><strong>The Caucasus\u00a0Region has been engulfed in a territorial dispute between Armenia and Azerbaijan over the Nagorno-Karabakh region for decades now.\u00a0<\/strong>Although flare-ups in the conflict have been recent, the root of the violence harkens back to the 1980s.<\/p>\n<p>But,<a href=\"https:\/\/www.visualcapitalist.com\/map-explainer-caucasus-region\">\u00a0as Visual Capitalist&#8217;s Avery Koop And Nick Routely explain below,<\/a>\u00a0<strong>this map allows us to step back and look at the region in its larger context.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>While most media has focused on the tensions, this map breaks down the entire Caucasus region, providing key facts and information. What are the countries that comprise the region? What is the main economic activity in the area? How is the population distributed? Let\u2019s begin.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2022-10-07_10-48-33.jpg?itok=v7N6M0bq\" data-image-external-href=\"\" data-image-href=\"\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2022-10-07_10-48-33.jpg?itok=v7N6M0bq\" data-link-option=\"0\"><picture><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"inline-images image-style-inline-images\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.zerohedge.com\/s3fs-public\/styles\/inline_image_mobile\/public\/inline-images\/2022-10-07_10-48-33.jpg?itok=v7N6M0bq\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"382\" data-entity-type=\"file\" data-entity-uuid=\"6443e954-d56f-4e85-8913-f3ccebe245be\" data-responsive-image-style=\"inline_images\" \/><\/picture><\/a><\/p>\n<h2>The Basics<\/h2>\n<p>The Caucasus region is characterized by far-reaching mountain ranges, that have long separated people and created distinct ethnic, linguistic, and religious identities over thousands of years. Today, the region spans over three main countries:<strong>\u00a0Armenia, Azerbaijan<\/strong>, and\u00a0<strong>Georgia<\/strong>, and is bordered by Russia, Turkey, and Iran.<\/p>\n<p>Focusing on the main three, here\u2019s a look at some\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.visualcapitalist.com\/visualized-the-worlds-population-at-8-billion\/\">basic demographics<\/a>:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u00a0Azerbaijan Population: 10.4 million<\/li>\n<li>\u00a0Armenia Population: 3.0 million<\/li>\n<li>\u00a0Georgia Population: 4.1 million<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Home to around\u00a0<strong>20<\/strong><strong>\u00a0million<\/strong>, the Caucasus region touches the Caspian Sea to the East and the Black Sea to the West. It is an area distinctly situated between Europe, Asia, and the Middle East, but is defined by most categorizations as Central Asian.<\/p>\n<h3>Azerbaijan<\/h3>\n<p>Azerbaijan is the biggest country in the region, both in terms of land mass and population. The\u00a0<strong>Nagorno-Karabakh<\/strong>\u00a0region is located within the official borders of Azerbaijan, and is inhabited almost entirely by ethnic Armenians.<\/p>\n<p>The majority of Azeris are Muslim, however, the country is considered one of the most secular Muslim countries in the world.\u00a0Azerbaijani or Azeri is the most widely spoken language with more than\u00a0<strong>92%<\/strong>\u00a0of people speaking it. Just over 1% in the country speak Russian and another 1% speak Armenian. Perhaps, unsurprisingly, a similar percentage share defines the amount of ethnic Russians and Armenians in Azerbaijan, at 1.5% and 1.3% respectively.<\/p>\n<h3>Armenia<\/h3>\n<p>Like both its neighbors, Armenia was founded at the fall of the Soviet Union in 1991. Unlike its neighbors, however, it is entirely landlocked.<\/p>\n<p>The country is a majority Christian nation, with an ethnic makeup of nearly\u00a0<strong>98%<\/strong>\u00a0Armenians and the most widely spoken language being Armenian,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.gov.am\/en\/demographics\/\">according<\/a>\u00a0to the government. The population count has fallen since the collapse of the USSR, and has been relatively flat in more recent years.<\/p>\n<h3>Georgia<\/h3>\n<p>Georgia is slightly smaller than Azerbaijan in size; the country shares a long border with Russia to its north and features a long coastline on the Black Sea.<\/p>\n<p>Georgia\u2019s population growth shares a similar story to many other former Soviet republics. While total population has decreased slightly over recent years, the growth in ethnic nationals (Georgians) has actually increased. The country is majority Christian and Georgian is the most popular language.<\/p>\n<h2>Where do People Live Across the Caucasus Region?<\/h2>\n<p>So how are these populations concentrated throughout the region? These\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/worldmapper.org\/maps\/gridded-population-geo\/?sf_action=get_data&amp;sf_data=results&amp;_sft_product_cat=population-atlas&amp;sf_paged=6\">cartograms<\/a>\u00a0from World Mapper, break it down by country:<\/p>\n<h3>Azerbaijan<\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2022-10-07_10-55-59.jpg?itok=u6zJLUCw\" data-image-external-href=\"\" data-image-href=\"\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2022-10-07_10-55-59.jpg?itok=u6zJLUCw\" data-link-option=\"0\"><picture><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"inline-images image-style-inline-images\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.zerohedge.com\/s3fs-public\/styles\/inline_image_mobile\/public\/inline-images\/2022-10-07_10-55-59.jpg?itok=u6zJLUCw\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"305\" data-entity-type=\"file\" data-entity-uuid=\"b66a63b2-7e65-44e8-9889-54c0fc4d5975\" data-responsive-image-style=\"inline_images\" \/><\/picture><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Most people live in and around the capital Baku, a port city on the Caspian Sea. However, a number of people also live inland closer to the Armenian and Georgian borders.<\/p>\n<h3>Armenia<\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2022-10-07_10-57-49.jpg?itok=_Wu_uYVt\" data-image-external-href=\"\" data-image-href=\"\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2022-10-07_10-57-49.jpg?itok=_Wu_uYVt\" data-link-option=\"0\"><picture><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"inline-images image-style-inline-images\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.zerohedge.com\/s3fs-public\/styles\/inline_image_mobile\/public\/inline-images\/2022-10-07_10-57-49.jpg?itok=_Wu_uYVt\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"393\" data-entity-type=\"file\" data-entity-uuid=\"d0c8a624-d0a9-4093-9ba4-e61fb41a9afc\" data-responsive-image-style=\"inline_images\" \/><\/picture><\/a><\/p>\n<p>In Armenia the population heavily skews towards its capital city of Yerevan, which has a population of<strong>\u00a01.1 million<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h3>Georgia<\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2022-10-07_10-58-08.jpg?itok=2gcpnv5u\" data-image-external-href=\"\" data-image-href=\"\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2022-10-07_10-58-08.jpg?itok=2gcpnv5u\" data-link-option=\"0\"><picture><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"inline-images image-style-inline-images\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.zerohedge.com\/s3fs-public\/styles\/inline_image_mobile\/public\/inline-images\/2022-10-07_10-58-08.jpg?itok=2gcpnv5u\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"197\" data-entity-type=\"file\" data-entity-uuid=\"99ef1e5f-fbdc-4076-a525-8c1e000dbc8f\" data-responsive-image-style=\"inline_images\" \/><\/picture><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Georgia\u2019s population distribution is slightly more even than its neighbors with a preference towards the capital Tbilisi.<\/p>\n<h2>The Economy of the Caucasus Region<\/h2>\n<p>Now let\u2019s dive into the economic activity in the Caucasus. In some parts, the region is oil-rich with access to resources like the vast oil fields in the Caspian Sea off Azerbaijan\u2019s coast. In fact, the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan Pipeline\u00a0carries nearly\u00a0<strong>1 million barrels of oil<\/strong>\u00a0from the oilfields to Turkey every day.<\/p>\n<p>Stepping back, here\u2019s a glance at regional GDPs:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u00a0Azerbaijan GDP: $42.6 billion<\/li>\n<li>\u00a0Georgia: $15.9 billion<\/li>\n<li>\u00a0Armenia GDP: $12.7 billion<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Azerbaijan is the Caucasus region\u2019s biggest economy. It is the most economically developed country of the three, having seen rapid GDP growth since its transition from a Soviet republic. At its height in the early 2000s, the national GDP was growing at yearly rates of\u00a0<strong>25%-35%<\/strong>. Today, its oil and gas exports are proving extremely lucrative given the European\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.visualcapitalist.com\/what-is-the-cost-of-europes-energy-crisis\/\">energy crisis<\/a>\u00a0due to the war in Ukraine. Fossil fuels make up about 95% of the country\u2019s export revenue.<\/p>\n<p>Both Armenia and Georgia\u2019s economies are considered emerging\/developing and are dependent on many different Russian imports. However,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ebrd.com\/news\/2022\/strong-economic-performance-in-caucasus-amid-geopolitical-turmoil.html\">according<\/a>\u00a0to the European Bank for Reconstruction &amp; Development, both economies are expected to grow\u00a0<strong>8%<\/strong>\u00a0this year.<\/p>\n<p>Georgia\u2019s economy has been recovering from the pandemic thanks to its burgeoning tourism industry, largely drawing Russian visitors. Additionally, in both Georgia and Armenia, the inflow of Russian businesses and tech professionals have boosted the economies.<\/p>\n<h2>A Brief Background<\/h2>\n<p>The three countries which encapsulate the region, Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Georgia, were each\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.visualcapitalist.com\/a-century-of-unions-in-europe-1920-2022\/\">republics<\/a>\u00a0under the Soviet Union until its fall in 1991. Additionally, the regions of Dagestan and Chechnya in Russia, also located in the geographic sphere of the Caucasus, each maintain a distinct identity from Russia. Both regions are majority ethnically non-Russian and still face regular violence over their power struggle with the regional heavyweight.<\/p>\n<p>In fact, many of the tensions in the region can be linked to Russian oppression, according to experts.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cRussian suppression of national resistance in the Caucasus has encouraged fundamentalist movements.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><cite>\u2013 DR. JAMES V. WERTSCH (CAUCASUS SPECIALIST, UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON, ST. LOUIS)<\/cite><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>In recent history, Russia even invaded Georgia during the opening ceremonies of the 2008 Beijing Summer Olympics, sparking conflict in the Ossetia and Abkhazia regions. The\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Russo-Georgian_War#\/media\/File:2008_South_Ossetia_war_en.svg\">Russo\u2013Georgian War<\/a>\u00a0is considered the first European war of the 21st century.<\/p>\n<p>While the history of the Caucasus goes way back\u2060\u2014for instance, the kingdom of Armenia dates back to the 331 BC\u2060\u2014more recent events have been shaped by Cold War and subsequent fallout from the dissolution of the USSR.<\/p>\n<h2>The Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict<\/h2>\n<p>The tension over the Nagorno-Karabakh region began in the late 1980s and escalated into a full-scale war into the 1990s. In the early years of the conflict, approximately\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/pulitzercenter.org\/stories\/five-things-worth-knowing-about-caucasus\">30,000 people<\/a>\u00a0died. Since then, ceasefires and violence have arisen intermittently\u2060\u2014with the most recent end to the fighting in 2020. At least 243 people have been\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.crisisgroup.org\/content\/nagorno-karabakh-conflict-visual-explainer\">killed<\/a>\u00a0since then.<\/p>\n<p>The conflict first began when newly independent Armenia demanded the region back from Azerbaijan, which was still a Soviet state at the time, as the population there was (and still is) mostly Armenian. Although not internationally recognized, a breakaway group has declared part of Nagorno-Karabakh as an independent state called the Republic of Artsakh.<\/p>\n<p>Here\u2019s a very brief timeline:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>1988-1994: First Nagorno-Karabakh War<\/li>\n<li>April 2016: Four days of violence at the separation line<\/li>\n<li>September-November 2020: War was reignited until Russia negotiated a ceasefire<\/li>\n<li>September 2022: New clashes erupted resulting in hundreds of deaths<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The conflict has bled out into the region\u2014Russia is on Armenia\u2019s side and Turkey on Azerbaijan\u2019s. But new allies may be taking the stage as\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/time.com\/6219263\/armenia-azerbaijan-us-involvement\/\">evidenced<\/a>\u00a0by Nancy Pelosi\u2019s visit to Armenia in mid-September. Today, the region is divided between Azerbaijan, Armenia, and Russian peacekeepers, but is still officially Azerbaijani.<\/p>\n<p>___<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/geopolitical\/understanding-caucasus-region\">https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/geopolitical\/understanding-caucasus-region<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Understanding The Caucasus Region<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-138349","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/138349","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=138349"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/138349\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=138349"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=138349"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=138349"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}