{"id":221899,"date":"2024-04-07T15:16:12","date_gmt":"2024-04-07T19:16:12","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/?p=221899"},"modified":"2024-04-07T15:16:12","modified_gmt":"2024-04-07T19:16:12","slug":"u-s-to-cash-in-russian-securities","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/?p=221899","title":{"rendered":"<h2>U.S. to Cash In Russian Securities<\/h2>"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Rebuilding Economic Prosperity and Opportunity for Ukraine \u2013 Or Not<\/h2>\n<p><!--more-->Submitted by Renee Parsons<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">As the US Congress continues its 118th Session on Tuesday (not during Monday, April 8<\/span><span class=\"s2\"><sup>th<\/sup><\/span><span class=\"s1\"> eclipse), confirming that it is not totally comatose as it conducts pro forma one minute floor speeches to satisfy the folks back home just prior to stepping into the dark side with committee hearings which require obedient bobbing heads. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">At any time, the House will then move to the Floor to approve another funding supplemental for the war in Ukraine. As if that were not sufficiently verboten to drive a $7 Trillion budget, a $34 Trillion debt or a $2 Trillion deficit, the House will then move to formalize its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/d206baa8-3ec9-42f0-b103-2c098d0486d9\"><span class=\"s3\">theft of $300 billion<\/span><\/a> in national securities and notes pilfered as economic sanctions on the Russians during early US opposition to Putin\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pbs.org\/newshour\/world\/putin-says-ukraine-special-military-operation-is-taking-longer-than-expected\"><span class=\"s3\">Special Military Operation<\/span><\/a> in 2022. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">While demands for an audit of US finances to Ukraine have not resulted in any formal financial accounting (which should include NATO costs) the US began its military and financial support since at least 2014 with State Department Ambassador Victoria Nuland sending the checks. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">At this point, it is essential to note that this war could have been avoided if the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/news\/2022\/2\/9\/what-is-the-minsk-agreement-and-why-is-it-relevant-now\"><span class=\"s3\">Minsk Agreement<\/span><\/a> had been enforced; even as we now know it was deliberately sabotaged and if it had not been for the strenuous efforts of the EU and NATO to compel Ukraine membership; thus providing desirable access to the Russian border. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">While the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pbs.org\/newshour\/world\/putin-says-ukraine-special-military-operation-is-taking-longer-than-expected\"><span class=\"s3\">CFR<\/span><\/a> estimates the cost of Ukraine at a mere $75 Billion, the <a href=\"https:\/\/crsreports.congress.gov\/product\/pdf\/IN\/IN12107\"><span class=\"s3\">Congressional Budget Office<\/span><\/a> brings it closer to $113 Billion (2022-2024) which still may not include every taxpayer contribution. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">To reiterate the US response to the SMO and its panicked application of <a href=\"https:\/\/home.treasury.gov\/news\/press-releases\/jy0608\"><span class=\"s3\">economic sanctions<\/span><\/a> which the Russians easily and predictably <a href=\"https:\/\/www.financialsense.com\/podcast\/20293\/jim-rickards-economic-warfare-russia-win-and-us-recession\"><span class=\"s3\">boomeranged<\/span><\/a> as they immediately went on war time footing. The US \u2018<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=qHVcCyDmzgA\"><span class=\"s3\">froze\u2019 the Russian<\/span><\/a> central bank and its assets, it banned the export of oil \u2013 certain to sink the ruble which unexpectedly rebounded as the Russian economy expanded as they continued to build their own weapons including hypersonic missiles which love to demolish Patriot missiles at $1 billion each. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">The Russians ultimately created the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/what-is-brics-who-are-its-members-2023-08-21\/\"><span class=\"s3\">BRICS<\/span><\/a> which is just beginning to negatively impact the US dollar; intent on bringing karma home to the US economy. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">While Congress has been sensitive to public criticism for spending precious US funds on Ukraine while ignoring the crisis at the southern border, a US <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rt.com\/russia\/590439-us-assets-confiscation-ukraine\/\"><span class=\"s3\">National Security Council memo<\/span><\/a> stated that <\/span><span class=\"s4\">the Biden administration backs<i> \u201cin principle\u201d<\/i> a bill that <i>\u201cwould provide the authority needed for the executive branch to <\/i><\/span><span class=\"s5\"><i>seize<\/i><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><i> Russian sovereign assets for the benefit of Ukraine.\u201d <\/i> <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s4\">As if deliberately taunting the Russians, in April, 2022, Secretary of State Antony Blinken announced sanctions on the personal families of President Vladimir Putin and Foreign Secretary Sergei Lavrov as well as twenty members of the Russian <a href=\"http:\/\/www.en.kremlin.ru\/structure\/state-council\"><span class=\"s6\">Federation\u2019s State Council<\/span><\/a> which then set off a round of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/58db28b1-b4bf-41fc-a66d-61b752416904\"><span class=\"s6\">antagonism<\/span><\/a> between Blinken and Lavrov. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s4\">In May, 2022 Biden Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen posited that it was <a href=\"https:\/\/news.yahoo.com\/yellen-not-legal-u-government-132809789.html?fr=sycsrp_catchallhttps:\/\/news.yahoo.com\/yellen-not-legal-u-government-132809789.html?fr=sycsrp_catchall\"><span class=\"s6\">not legal<\/span><\/a> to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/yellen-not-legal-us-government-seize-russian-central-bank-assets-2022-05-18\/\"><span class=\"s6\">\u2018seize\u2019 Russian<\/span><\/a> official assets whose opinion was easily dismissed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p4\"><span class=\"s7\">In a December, 2023 White House statement from National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan, <\/span><span class=\"s4\">we are \u201c<i>sending an unmistakable message: anyone supporting Russia\u2019s unlawful war effort is at risk of losing access to the U.S. financial system<\/i>. By January, 2024 the Biden White House was fully supportive of <a href=\"https:\/\/news.bloomberglaw.com\/banking-law\/white-house-throws-support-behind-seizing-frozen-russian-assets\"><span class=\"s6\">seizing<\/span><\/a> Russian assets. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">The Administration justifies allocating Russian funds as a \u2018<i>too<\/i>l\u2019 to rebuild Ukraine which the World Bank estimates at $411 billion. The Biden White House suggested that the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/d206baa8-3ec9-42f0-b103-2c098d0486d9\"><span class=\"s3\">G7 finance ministers<\/span><\/a> be tasked with a recommendation while the EU, Italy, France and Germany expressed reluctance of the legality of confiscating the funds. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">It is a far stretch to believe that any portion of the $300 billion will actually be devoted to any rebuilding and that whatever does not end up in Zelensky\u2019s pocket, will be used to continue the war. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s4\">Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov warned that the seizure of Russian assets by Washington would be a step towards <i>\u201cundermining the international financial authority and the confidence of the international investors\u201d<\/i> in the US. In other words, the US financial system is already shaky and less than reliable as an exemplar of fiscal strength and integrity as it continues to destroy itself. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s4\">Speaker Mike Johnson who has been busily reinventing himself since his election, is contemplating an \u2018<i>asset seizure\u2019<\/i> of $6 billion interest on the $300 billion to \u201c<i>help finance Ukraine\u2019s recovery\u2019<\/i> is nothing like the truth. The unvarnished truth is that the western collective led by the Giant Hegemon is desirous of bringing Putin down \u2013 all the way down and will do whatever it takes to accomplish the task. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">While Congressional incentive has been motivated to \u2018seize\u2019 the securities rather than acknowledge implications of seizing Russian securities opposed to a \u2018freeze,\u2019<\/span><span class=\"s8\"> i<\/span><span class=\"s1\">t is now clear that a bipartisan, bicameral effort to seize Russian Oligarch Assets to Aid Ukraine was introduced in November, 2023 when the House Foreign Affairs Committee quickly adopted <a href=\"https:\/\/www.govtrack.us\/congress\/bills\/118\/hr4175\"><span class=\"s3\">HR 4175<\/span><\/a> known as REPO for Ukraine Act on a 40 \u2013 2 vote. <\/span><span class=\"s4\">Rep. French Hill (R-Ark.), <\/span><span class=\"s9\">a member of the House <a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.com\/news\/2024\/04\/01\/johnson-eyes-russian-assets-in-ukraine-funding-fight-00149932\"><span class=\"s6\">Foreign Affairs Committee<\/span><\/a>, <\/span><span class=\"s4\">one of the drivers of seizing the Russian securities said in an interview<\/span><span class=\"s10\"> \u201c<\/span><span class=\"s4\"><i>To me, this is a significant part of economic diplomacy that goes way beyond adding more names to a sanctions list that aren\u2019t going to ever<\/i><\/span><i> <\/i><span class=\"s9\"><i>be sanctioned<\/i><\/span><span class=\"s11\"><i>.\u201d <\/i><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">In late January 2024, the full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foreign.senate.gov\/imo\/media\/doc\/faf98acc-a22c-a542-2cc7-64f91f027fa4\/01%252024%25202024%2520--%2520Business%2520Meeting%2520--%2520as%2520of%2520Feb.%25208%2520--%2520compressed.pdf\"><span class=\"s6\">Senate Foreign Affairs Committee<\/span><\/a> went along with the \u2018seize\u2019 and adopted <a href=\"https:\/\/www.congress.gov\/bill\/118th-congress\/senate-bill\/2003\/text\"><span class=\"s6\">S 2003, <i>Rebuilding Economic Prosperity and Opportunity for Ukraine<\/i><\/span><span class=\"s12\"><i> Act<\/i><\/span><\/a><\/span><span class=\"s4\"> (REPO) on a 20 &#8211; 1 vote with Sen. Rand Paul the only vote in opposition.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s4\">REPO would authorize the <i>seizure<\/i> of Russian sovereign assets immobilized in the United States\u2014and repurpose those assets for the <i>reconstruction<\/i> of Ukraine.<\/span> <span class=\"s4\">In addition, Senate Committee Chair Cardin made the alarming point that \u201c<i>REPO is NOT an alternative or a substitute for the supplemental appropriations bill that would provide $60 billion of urgently-needed funding for Ukraine, including for its immediate needs for continued defense against Russia, along with critical funding for Israel and Taiwan<\/i>.\u201d In other words, this week the House may be voting to seize the $300 billion <\/span><span class=\"s5\">and to<\/span><span class=\"s4\"> separately fund war here and war there. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s4\">Cardin reminded the world that<i> \u201cthe Supplemental remains the most urgent foreign relations priority for Congress\u2014we absolutely have to pass it, as the consequences of not doing so would be catastrophic. Ukraine is on the verge of being overrun by Russia if we do not give them the help that they need in order to defend the front line of democracy, and we all know it will not end with Ukraine.\u201d<\/i><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s4\">Citing REPO, \u201cits <i>main contribution lies in its importance from a diplomatic perspective. While it could directly unlock a small fraction of the hundreds of billions of dollars of immobilized Russian assets worldwide, enactment of REPO will hopefully spur other countries, including our European partners and allies, which hold the vast bulk of immobilized Russian sovereign assets, to seize and repurpose those assets for Ukraine.\u201d<\/i><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s4\">Also worth mention is that \u201c<i>Central bank assets are the <\/i><\/span><span class=\"s5\"><i>most protected class of assets under international law<\/i><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><i> and pursuant to our domestic law ..which we are not at war, would be a first for the United States<\/i>\u2026\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p6\"><span class=\"s13\">While the EU has not endorsed US seizure of the Russian assets citing \u201c<i>under <\/i><\/span><span class=\"s4\"><i>international law there is no clear-cut way to seize those assets without a vote in the un Security Council, a judgment by the International Court of Justice (icj) or a post-war settlement. Each of those would require Russia\u2019s agreement<\/i><\/span><span class=\"s14\">.\u201d <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s15\">On the other hand, the<\/span><span class=\"s16\"> <a href=\"https:\/\/carnegieendowment.org\/politika\/91556\"><span class=\"s17\">Carnegie Endowment for International Peace<\/span><\/a><\/span><span class=\"s1\"> considers multiple commercial options possible but are curiously less interested in pursuing international peace or a credible world order based on international law. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">Russian allies have lobbied the EU to continue <a href=\"https:\/\/www.yahoo.com\/news\/russias-allies-demand-eu-not-151516020.html?fr=sycsrp_catchall\"><span class=\"s3\">resisting US\/UK<\/span><\/a> pressure citing legal precedent and dangerous consequences including potential eurozone instability as the BRICS are sure to weigh in. There is of course no realistic expectation that Russia will relinquish of any its acquired territories, most of which represent historic Russian occupation while risks of retaliation remain possible. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p8\"><span class=\"s4\">Renee Parsons served on the ACLU\u2019s Florida State Board of Directors and as president of the ACLU Treasure Coast Chapter. She has been an elected public official in Colorado, staff in the Office of the Colorado State Public Defender, an environmental lobbyist for Friends of the Earth and a staff member of the US House of Representatives in Washington DC. <\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rebuilding Economic Prosperity and Opportunity for Ukraine \u2013 Or Not<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-221899","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/221899","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=221899"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/221899\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=221899"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=221899"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=221899"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}