{"id":32751,"date":"2020-10-21T15:55:34","date_gmt":"2020-10-21T19:55:34","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/?p=32751"},"modified":"2020-10-21T15:55:34","modified_gmt":"2020-10-21T19:55:34","slug":"pollster-who-called-2016-potus-election-predicts-a-trump-victory","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/?p=32751","title":{"rendered":"Pollster Who Called 2016 POTUS Election Predicts a Trump Victory"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1>Pollster Who Called Trump&#8217;s 2016 Win: He&#8217;ll Win Again<\/h1>\n<p><!--more--><div id=\"attachment_32752\" style=\"width: 610px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-32752\" src=\"http:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/GetFile-8.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"500\" class=\"size-full wp-image-32752\" srcset=\"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/GetFile-8.jpg 600w, https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/GetFile-8-300x250.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-32752\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">President Donald Trump walks on the south lawn of the White House on October 20, 2020 in Washington, DC. (Tasos Katopodis\/Getty Images)<\/p><\/div><\/p>\n<p>By Jason Devaney | NEWSMAX<\/p>\n<p>The pollster who predicted President Donald Trump&#8217;s victory in the 2016 election said Trump will win another term next month because of the &#8220;hidden vote.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Robert Cahaly, a senior strategist and pollster at the Trafalgar Group,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/politics\/robert-cahaly-trafalgar-group-2020-election-polls\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">told Fox News&#8217; Sean Hannity<\/a>\u00a0Tuesday night that Trump is on track to securing another election victory.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I see the president winning with a minimum high 270s and possibly going up significantly higher based on just how big this undercurrent is,&#8221; Cahaly said. A candidate needs at least 270 Electoral College votes to win the presidential election.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;What we&#8217;ve noticed is that these polls are predominantly missing the hidden Trump vote. There is a clear feeling among conservatives and people that are for the president that they&#8217;re not interested in sharing their opinions readily.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;These people are more hesitant to participate in polls. So if you&#8217;re not compensating for this, you&#8217;re not going to get honest answers.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Four years ago, the Trafalgar Group claimed Trump was leading in the key battleground states of Pennsylvania, Florida, and Michigan, despite the majority of polls saying Democrat Hillary Clinton was in the lead. Trump won all three states en route to victory.<\/p>\n<p>The\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/epolls\/2020\/president\/us\/general_election_trump_vs_biden-6247.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">RealClearPolitics polling average<\/a>\u00a0shows Democrat Joe Biden with a lead of 8.5 percentage points just two weeks from Election Day. Trump&#8217;s campaign and his supporters, however,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsmax.com\/politics\/pollsters-methodologies-voter-suppression-polls\/2020\/10\/12\/id\/991600\/\">claim the polls are wrong<\/a>\u00a0and that Trump will win.<\/p>\n<p>___<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsmax.com\/politics\/robert-cahaly-trafalgar-group-sean-hannity\/2020\/10\/21\/id\/993041\/\">https:\/\/www.newsmax.com\/politics\/robert-cahaly-trafalgar-group-sean-hannity\/2020\/10\/21\/id\/993041\/<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pollster Who Called Trump&#8217;s 2016 Win: He&#8217;ll Win Again<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-32751","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32751","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=32751"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32751\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=32751"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=32751"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/stateofthenation.co\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=32751"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}