The 12 Days of Christmas in the Ukraine

Video Rebel’s Blog

Russia is accumulating a force in Belarus capable of quickly taking Kiev. It might be launched just before or after Christmas day 12-25-2022. There is an old English song about gifts given to a man’s true love on each of the 12 days of Christmas starting with a partridge in a pear tree on the 25th and ending with 12 drummers drumming on January 6th. The point is that January 6th which is the Epiphany in NATO countries is Russian-Ukrainian Orthodox Christmas.

I am thinking the Ukrainian military will collapse before Orthodox Christmas. Putin might offer a cease fire so local Ukrainian forces can surrender on or just before their Orthodox Christmas day. Putin is running for re-election. The first round is scheduled for March 17, 2024. He cannot be seen as weak. He must handle the Ukraine decisively but he does not want to be seen as too brutal to fellow Slavs and coreligionists.

Sporadic fighting might continue after January 6th as there are many Nazi sympathizers in the Ukraine. Putin will want to have war crimes trials both against the Zelensky cadre of Jewish grafters and against the Ukrainian Nazis.

The following are reasons why I think Ukraine will collapse so quickly.

The Ukrainians have engaged the Russians in a fight to the death battle at Bakhmut in the Donbass. The Ukrainians are losing several hundred soldiers a day. Dima of the Youtube Military Summary channel is from Belarus and reports that over the next 2 to 3 weeks  that the Russians could establish 8 cauldrons on the Donbass frontline.

Cauldrons are Russia’s favorite military tactic. They get on 2 to 3 sides of a Ukrainian position and establish artillery fire control over supply lines. One Ukrainian soldier months ago wrote an open letter to Zelensky complaining that they have no support and can do nothing. He counted 3,500 incoming artillery shells per day against his brigade originally consisting of 3,500 men which had been reduced to a much smaller force.

Some surrendering Ukrainians have reported that they were down to eating one potato a day.

The current Ukrainian tactic is to force groups of 50 to 120 men to attack the Russian frontlines. These are suicide missions. In the area of the Donbass there are at least 40,000 foreign fighters.  Polish men including officers refused a suicidal attack order. A group of officers from Ukraine’s Right Sector, one of their many Nazi brigades, met with the Poles and threatened to attack them if they did not proceed. The Poles refused the order and killed the Ukrainian Nazis.

The point is that when, not if, the Donbass front collapses, the survivors amongst the 40,000 NATO soldiers  will become prisoners of war that Britain, France, Poland, Romania, Germany and other interested nations will want to get back. This will be about the time of NATO Christmas, December 25th. Additionally, the collapse of the Ukrainian frontlines will free Russian soldiers to march onto Odessa or to attack Kharkov and Sumy in the north or possibly both.

The main brunt of the Russian attack will come from Belarus. The primary target will be Kiev. But the Russians will want to pin down the Ukrainians in Sumy district which is directly west of Kharkov. If you look at maps of Ukraine’s power grid and of their network of trains, you will see the advantage of cutting most of the Ukraine off from Kiev at Sumy. The Russians have air supremacy and can fire at military targets in both Sumy and Kharkov from Belarus so they only need a couple of brigades to pin down the local Ukrainian forces.

The Big Push

The Russians will have 1,000 MLRS rocket launchers that can accurately fire 12 rockets each in 12 seconds. That is 12,000 rockets in the opening 12 seconds of Day One. These rockets have a range 50% greater than HIMARS and twice the payload. The Russians in November launched satellites that gives them better readings on targets in the Ukraine. For example, they recently destroyed a facility that repairs diesel engines. The Ukrainians had wanted to use older diesel trains because their modern ones are electric and Russia is constantly cutting off their electricity. They also blew up the factory that makes transformers.

Mark Sleboda, an American ex-military man who teaches at Moscow University, believes that Russia is accumulating a huge force of cruise missiles, rockets, artillery rounds, drones and other materiel.

I should point out that Russia jointly produces the Brahmos Mach 3 cruise missile with India. It is named for the Brahmaputra and Moscow rivers. In 2024 it will be upgraded to a Mach 7 or 8 version. The Brahmos can be launched from an aircraft. That means the Mach 3 speed of the Brahmos when added to the Mach 2 jet, will give the missile Mach 5 speed. The ship based Brahmos has a 200 kg (441 pounds) warhead and the air launched version is 300 Kgs (661 pounds.) India has thousands of these cruise missiles if Putin needs them. Not sure what Chinese assembly lines have. The Ukrainians will run out of soldiers long before the Russians run out of missiles, drones, tanks, MLRS rockets and artillery shells. A leak from the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense 2 months ago said Ukraine had lost 125,000 dead and several times that wounded.

I have seen videos of Ukrainian cemeteries with recent burials. One man was walking around his local cemetery and said these are the October burials and those over there are the November burials.  The Russians should target the Ukraine’s Nazi battalions between now and Day One so they can no longer force young, lightly armed men to go on suicide missions against Russian artillery, tanks, drones, machine guns and air power.

I make no claims as either a weather forecaster or a tank commander. But the 14 day forecast for Belarus is that after the 12th of December there will be no more rain and that daytime highs will be below the freezing point of water. Snow is forecasted for several days up till December 2oth but the 21st is forecasted to be clear. Great weather for Russian tanks and drones. The Russians can launch a couple hundred cruise missiles, Iskander rockets and suicide drones every day until the ceasefire.

Their recon drones and satellites can detect living targets so the Russians can fire second, third and fourth rounds of MLRS 12,000 rocket volleys. Meanwhile, Russian artillery might go from firing 50,000 to 60,000 rounds a day to 80,000.

It is hell on earth to have command centers, ammunition and supply depots bombed by missiles while 5,000 incoming artillery shells pins down your brigade with Russian tanks approaching on the horizon.

Zelensky will flee. His criminal cohorts stole 70% of the weapons sent by NATO for the Ukrainian soldiers. The Zelensky crowd sold it by the plane load to drug cartels, terrorists and African warlords. They also sold assassination drones on the Dark Web. These men have been buying real estate in sunnier climates. The Kiev leadership will be gone.

Local commanders will be in charge of the Ukrainian forces in the field. NATO will set up a rump government in Lviv near the Polish border. In fact Lviv for along time had been part of Poland. Recently, Poland has suggested plebiscites  so that Ukrainians can vote to return to Poland. The Hungarians and the Romanians might also want to take parts of the Ukraine. This means that the Ukrainian rump government in Lviv will soon be in Polish territory.

I would expect the CIA and MI-6 to kill Zelensky and to seize the billion plus dollars in bribes that he sequestered in off shore banks.

I would hope to see a cease fire proposal a day or so before Orthodox Christmas day so that local commanders can surrender with their soldiers. The men will need lots of food and medical treatment.

Putin will have nearly 40,000 NATO military men in his prisons back in the Donbass who will at their Christmas-New Years holidays want to go home. Voters back home will also want to see their husbands, fathers, sons and brothers. They should let the men talk to their relatives from their prisons. They will likely have a lot of bad things to say about the Ukrainian government.

The Media has been lying since 2014. I have read many times that Russia is about to run out of drones and cruise missiles. When the public sees the tremendous Push of the Russian Army, everyone will know they were lied to and some might question where that $100 billion went. That is one reason why I think Zelensky will die. Epstein had to die too. First person witness testimony can devastate any narrative of lies NATO public relations-mind control experts can concoct.